讲座：The future of the European elderly population health status
题 目：The future of the European elderly population health status
演讲人：Prof. Vincenzo Atella, Department of Economics and Finance University of Rome Tor Vergata
主持人：黄 丞 副教授 上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院金融系
时 间：2017年9月29日 14:00-15:30
地 点：上海交通大学 徐汇校区中院314室
The ageing process in Europe calls for a better understanding of the future disease prevalence, life expectancy and inequalities in health outcomes patterns. In this presentation we discuss EU-FEM, a multi-risk multi-morbidity dynamic micro-simulation model of health status and health demand in Europe, with the aim of reproducing comparable long-term trends in individual health status in Europe. Given the model’s dynamic structure, we allow individual health status to evolve over time according to individual characteristics (i.e., age, sex, sickness, access to health facilities, job change, retirement or death). The model provides reliable forecasts of the evolution of major chronic condition prevalence, life expectancy, disability free and quality adjusted life years and health expenditures. This evidence represents a valid contribution to inform policy makers in designing and implementing effective policy interventions in the health care sector.
Vincenzo Atella is Professor of Economics at the University of Rome “Tor Vergata” and adjunct associate of the Center for Health Policy at Stanford University. Currently, he is CEIS Tor Vergata Director, Scientific Director of the Farmafactoring Foundation and President of the Italian Health Economic Association (AIES). His work has been published in top journals such as Aging, Demography, European Journal of Health Economics, Health Economics, International Journal of Public Health, Journal of Banking and Finance, Journal of Health Economics, Regional Science and Urban Economics, Social Science and Medicine.