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Trump’s Tariffs and the US imports from China

Alumni and External Relations Office    2019-10-16

Trump’s Tariffs and the US imports from China

Speaker: Associate Professor, Lingsheng Meng, The Chinese University of Hong Kong

Host: Professor Zhang Lei

Time:Wednesday, October 23, 2019, 14:30-16:00

Venue: A303, Antai Building

 

Abstract:

This paper empirically investigates the impacts of the recent US’ trade actions on its imports from China. Specifically, we estimate the effects of Section 301 tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on the total and unit value of imported Chinese goods with a difference-in-difference framework. Using monthly foreign trade data from the US Census Bureau, we estimate a moderate dampening effect of the tariff increases on the total value of imports from China. We also find evidence on the anticipatory behavior of US importers expecting higher upcoming tariffs. For the first two tranches of tariffs, we estimate no significant effects on the unit value of imports, which we use as a proxy for price. For the third tranche, the tariffs are found to have a sizable negative impact on unit value.

 

Bio:

Dr. Lingsheng Meng is an associate professor of economics at the Chinese University of Hong Kong. Dr. Meng's research interests are in the fields of development economics, labor economics, and public economics, with a particular focus on China. Before joining the Chinese University of Hong Kong, Dr. Meng had been working at Tsinghua University.